Post: Why weight loss drugs could be bad news for the beverage industry

Why weight loss drugs could be bad news for the beverage industry

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Do espresso and Wegovy combine? 

That’s on the minds of espresso model executives as more and more common GLP-1 diabetes and weight-loss medication curb some customers’ cravings for espresso and different drinks.

Whereas there have been shifts in consumption patterns amongst folks taking the medication, executives at some main CPGs say their corporations have been impervious to penetration. However Lars Fruergaard Jorgensen, CEO of Ozempic and Wegovy maker Novo Nordisk, informed Bloomberg that meals firm executives are asking him for recommendation.

“A few CEOs from, say, meals corporations, have been calling me,” Jorgensen informed Bloomberg. “They’re scared about it.”

Espresso

In response to a research by world asset-management agency Bernstein of how diabetes and weight reduction medication influence foods and drinks consumption,  “24% of every day espresso drinkers say they now drink much less since utilizing a GLP-1.”

One firm at explicit threat, per the funding adviser, is Nestlé, a frontrunner within the espresso phase. The meals and beverage big derives 7% of its gross sales from Nespresso and its different manufacturers.

However Nestlé CEO Mark Schneider assured buyers in a December LinkedIn submit that the corporate has not “seen proof that GLP-1 sufferers have a decreased urge for food for espresso.”

Bernstein cited two mitigating components for Nestlé: weight problems charges are extra prevalent amongst lower-income households and Nespresso espresso is premium with premium costs; and Nestle has a broad portfolio with “GLP-1 resistant classes,” equivalent to pet meals and medication.

 

Elective Caption

Scott Olson through Getty Photographs

 

Tender Drinks

Soda consumption has additionally modified for customers of semaglutide, the energetic ingredient in Wegovy and Ozempic.

Amongst every day drinkers of full-calorie soda, Bernstein discovered 33% of GLP-1 customers have “stop sugary soda completely, whereas one other third decreased consumption. For respondents who drank soda no less than thrice every week earlier than taking GLP-1 medication, the outcomes have been extra dramatic; “as many as 77% reported to have decreased consumption or stop completely.”

Unsurprisingly, amongst every day drinkers of zero-calorie soda, solely 9% stop and 30% reduce down on consumption.

The burden-loss medication are not any rival for beverage big Coca-Cola, per CFO John Murphy, as 68% of the CPG’s portfolio already has low or no energy. “We’re properly positioned to offer selection and to offer choices for folks’s respective motivations and desires,” he famous, on the corporate’s earnings name in October.

PepsiCo CEO Ramon Laguarta has additionally dismissed the concept GLP-1 medication have slowed demand for the corporate’s drinks, as has Keurig Dr Pepper CEO Bob Gamgort.

Booze

Alcohol consumption has been impacted by GLP-1 utilization for weight reduction, surveys and research have discovered.

“Early developments point out that GLP-1 households are pulling again on meals and alcohol purchases extra considerably than households with out GLP-1 customers, notably these with people utilizing GLP-1 medication for weight reduction,” in keeping with Numerator, which supplies market intelligence companies.

Sending on alcoholic drinks decreased for all households between Jan. 1, 2023 and Sept. 30, 2023 in comparison with the year-earlier interval, Numerator present in a survey, however decreased most dramatically in households through which somebody was utilizing GLP-1 medication for weight reduction. Non-users spent 9.3% much less YOY; GLP-1 households spent 11.2% much less; GLP-1 diabetes customers spent 5% much less; and GLP-1 weight misplaced customers spent 14.5% much less.

AB InBev CEO Michel Doukeris, claimed the drug no influence on his enterprise, throughout his firm’s earnings name in October.

In the meantime, amongst largely beer and spirits drinkers, the Bernstein research decided, “over half of respondents have decreased or stopped their consumption.”

Some current stories recommend that weight reduction medication might deal with dependancy to substances like alcohol and caffeine.

A research printed in eBioMedicine decided that semaglutide reduces alcohol consumption and relapse-like ingesting in rats.

So far as Doukeris is worried, it is “too early to evaluate any overlap or change in conduct in related client teams.”

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